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Generative AI: What Is a Strategic Risk of Generative AI in Large-Scale Programs?

Discover which strategic risk is most associated with generative AI in large-scale programs for the Generative AI for Project Managers certification exam. Learn why “misinformed decision-making” is a critical concern and how it impacts project outcomes.

Question

Generative AI can present several strategic risks when used in large-scale programs. Which of the following is a strategic risk associated with AI?

A. Guaranteed compliance with regulations
B. High rate of adoption
C. Improved human judgment
D. Misinformed decision-making

Answer

D. Misinformed decision-making

Explanation

AI-generated insights might not always be accurate or aligned with real-world conditions, leading to suboptimal decisions.

Generative AI introduces several strategic risks when deployed in large-scale programs. Among the options provided, misinformed decision-making stands out as a primary strategic risk.

Why Is Misinformed Decision-Making a Strategic Risk?

AI-Generated Outputs Can Be Inaccurate:
Generative AI models, such as large language models, sometimes produce outputs that are factually incorrect, misleading, or not aligned with real-world conditions. These inaccuracies—often called “hallucinations”—can appear highly plausible, making it difficult for users to distinguish between correct and incorrect information.

Impact on Critical Decisions:
When project managers or organizational leaders rely on AI-generated insights without sufficient human oversight, they risk making poor decisions. For example, an AI model might recommend a suboptimal project strategy, misinterpret market data, or provide flawed risk assessments, leading to financial loss, reputational harm, or regulatory penalties.

Root Causes:

  • Lack of Transparency: Many AI models operate as “black boxes,” making it hard to trace or understand their decision logic.
  • Data Poisoning and Bias: If training data is biased or intentionally manipulated, AI outputs may further amplify misinformation or disinformation, compounding the risk of poor decisions.
  • Overreliance on AI: Assuming AI-generated answers are always correct can lead to misplaced trust and strategic missteps.

Supporting Evidence from Industry Sources

  • Deloitte highlights that generative AI can produce “hallucinations,” resulting in plausible but incorrect outputs that may cause faulty decisions and lost opportunities.
  • Cloudflare warns that AI-generated misinformation can lead to individuals and organizations making poorly informed decisions, sometimes with widespread consequences.
  • Forbes and other industry voices emphasize the lack of transparency and potential for unintended consequences as core strategic risks in AI adoption.

Why the Other Options Are Incorrect

A. Guaranteed compliance with regulations:
Generative AI does not guarantee compliance; in fact, it often introduces new regulatory and ethical challenges.

B. High rate of adoption:
While rapid adoption can be a risk factor, it is not a strategic risk inherent to the technology itself.

C. Improved human judgment:
This is a potential benefit, not a risk. AI can support human decision-making, but only if used correctly and with proper oversight.

The most critical strategic risk associated with generative AI in large-scale programs is misinformed decision-making. This risk arises from the potential for AI to generate inaccurate, biased, or misleading outputs, which can negatively influence key organizational decisions if not properly managed and overseen.

What Is a Strategic Risk of Generative AI in Large-Scale Programs?

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